Intermarium and the future of Europe
In Europe massive changes are happening.
You can see that since war in Ukraine, immigration crisis and Brexit some new phase has begun.
What to do?
Answer of our foreign ministry is unclear and in the context of our geopolitical interests, our main course of action is incomprehensible.
Just think about it – without a passive reaction towards and adaption of everything that the Brussels says, to see any other strategy is hard.
At first, in the debates about foreign affairs in 2014 – two months before the occupation of Crimea – foreign ministry asked for visa-free regime between the EU and Russia, as well as for extension of cooperation. Many businesspeople from this were hurt badly.
In 2015 a large immigration crisis and possibility of migrant quotas was not predicted, although in the Brussels many people were speaking about this.
Today there is a silence about the future of the EU itself and our attitude towards Visegrad countries.
We have to be honest – Brexit has changed things forever.
For European federalists this was a huge failure.
But those, who would like to see European Federation in the place of nation states, look at this as a chance to centralize power in the Brussels even more.
This attitude offended so many British people, that they decided to leave.
You will remember that the federalists in Brussels were not open to any compromises with Mr. Cameron and in this way, together with the immigration politics of Ms. Merkel, result was determined.
To further processes of federalization Visegrad states – Poland, Czechia, Hungary and Slovakia – are resisting.
Not because they are against Europe, but on the contrary – because they love Europe, they see dead-end and wants to prevent it.
Whom will we join?
Goal of federalists in Brussels is clear – not to waste a good crisis for even more centralization, offering even a creation of EU army.
Those who will resist will be called extremists, populists and even ‘’putinists’’.
Visegrad states want to preserve European Union as a union of cooperation between nation-states.
Since Brexit the determination of both sides has only increased.
Exit of UK has changed the power balance in the Europe.
But Germany, whose open doors policy has created a great misery and unrest, now has even more influence.
It has also a tendency to be more pro-Russian – to find a common language with Russia was never a problem for Germany in recent history; neither was it a problem for France.
Everything happens according to the checkerboard principle – between the two strong currents a third one tends to gain a foothold – countries of Central and Eastern Europe cooperates to defend their interests, leaders of these countries have regular meetings and action is coordinated.
In the interwar period leader of Poland Juzef Pilsudsky as one of his main goal put the integration of the region between the Baltic and Black seas, or – Intermarium. The goal of Intermarium was not to allow for the two millstones – Germany and Russia – to endanger the freedom of the new European states.
The essence of Intermarium is to be found in two factors – first, in interest to limit influence of Russia; second, real possibility to limit this influence, if the countries act together.
This is why Russia has always tried to dismantle such a union and to attack the states one by one – at first Ukraine, then Poland and then the Baltic states.
Leader of the war of liberation, General Peteris Radziņš also knew this.
He wrote: ‘’Union of Baltic states could be a very strong factor; thus is why Soviet Russia also pays much attention to the idea of such union. It spends all its resources and all its strength to dismantle such a union, so the Soviet Russia in future would not have to fight in a continuous front from Nordic Ocean to river of Dniester.’’
‘’Every nationally thinking citizen of Baltic States should be convinced that the interests of their states are closely related – that the enemy of one state endangers also the other state; – if only one of them loses its independence, then all of them loses their independence’’.
‘’If the Baltic States stays in a close union, then most important role for the strenght of these countries will be for Ukraine: if it will be separated from Russia and will join the union of Baltic states, then the united force will be enough for self-sufficient defence. So we can say, that the fate of Ukraine will decide the fate of the Baltic States also’’
And today also – the fate of Ukraine will decide our fate.
Poland and Ukraine is Intermarium core.
Both states have more than 80 million people, which makes them a considerable counterforce.
Then you have the Visegrad states that already work within the EU framework.
These countries are also the voice of reason in Europe regarding the questions of immigration, identity and family values.
What will the Baltic States do?
Euro federalists are reluctant to the idea of Ukraine joining the EU – the state that led a revolution and shed blood in the name of Europe.
We have to help Ukraine, because it is moral and it is in the interests of as all.
We also have to help Visegrad states, because it defends such a European Union, where national identity is respected.
We don’t have to blindly follow the lead of federalists in Brussels, because we ourselves are Europeans, no less than those in Brussels.
And we can create the Europe of future.
We don’t want neither tower of Babel, neither towers of Kremlin – we just want to be and to remain Latvians!
This is why we have to remain in Europe in order to change it.
The West is in crisis, the foundations of the West are in danger – immigration crisis, terrorism and Brexit are only the outward appearances.
This crisis has to be resolved and we have our role in it.
Reforms and changes are necessary in the union – because there is no way back to the previous order of things.
A reasonable nationalism and modern conservativism can give the answer!